Blazin' 5: Colin Cowherd Gives His Five Best NFL Bets For Week 14 (December 13th)
(VIDEO SEGMENT AT BOTTOM OF PAGE)
Last Week's Blazin' 5 record: 3-2
2020 Blazin' 5 record: 30-33-2
For 2020 Season Blazing Five Archives Click Here
Titans at Jaguars (SPREAD: TEN -7.5)
“I’m going to take the Titans -7.5. I know there’s the hook there and betters tend to not like the hooks, but I’m going to swallow it here because I think we have a rout on our hands. Tennessee is a very good team who was humiliated at home last week. You know my rule – BET THEM THE FOLLOWING WEEK. They outscored Cleveland 28-3 in the second half. Their offense, which 'appears' to be lacking firepower, is top 5 in the NFL in yards per play – a huge Vegas stat. The Jags defense is AWFUL – worst in the league – and they have not held an opponent to under 24 points since Week 1. There is a huge coaching advantage to Tennessee, and I like this game as my ROUT of the weekend. The Titans bounce back, 36-23. What are the Jags playing for?? At this point I don’t know.”
Colin's pick: Tennessee -7.5
Chiefs at Dolphins (SPREAD: KC -7)
“I’m going to take the Fins +7. This game feels like all Miami games, which is kind of close and ugly. We talk a lot about offense, but Kansas City’s defense is clearly the second best defense in this game, and the data tells you that it is slipping. The Dolphins defense is first in the league on third down – Translation? We will get Patrick Mahomes off the field; they did it with Russell Wilson. Kansas City’s defense is the sixth worst rushing defense and in the last month it has gotten worse. The Chiefs have not won by more than 6 points in any of their last 4 games. What I think you have here is a Miami offense that can run it, doesn’t turn it over, excellent defense, at home, and a Kansas City offense that sort of lacks a certain urgency. I think they’ll win, but Miami games look the same every weekend. They are the best bet in the NFL, 9-3 against the spread the Dolphins are, and I like them here. Chiefs win 28-23, Dolphins COVER.”
Colin's pick: Miami +7
Cardinals at Giants (SPREAD: ARI -2.5)
“Okay, this is the game that you should bet the LEAST on. I like the Giants +2.5, but the reason why I’m worried is because EVERYBODY likes the Giants this week. You walk into a bar ‘Hey! Who you guys betting?!’ Everybody says ‘GIANTS!’ I think they have a coaching edge, they’re at home, I think they’re better than their record, and I like their defensive line/offensive line matchup here. I am concerned that they just came off their biggest win in several years and the world now loves the Giants. What concerns me more for Arizona is Kyler Murray the last three games is STRUGGLING. Their defense has allowed over 30 points in three of the last four games. They’ve lost 4 of their last 5 games, and are a Hail Mary from being 0 for their last 5. Although I think Kliff Kingsbury did a very good job, and brought some new things to the table during the offseason – so in September and October we all kind of fell in love with Arizona – but they have not shown a second gear. The Giants are just getting better every week, and I feel like Arizona is getting a little worse. I’m going to take the Giants to WIN, but close though, the weather is going to be like 58 and sunny, it’s not a weather advantage. Giants win 27-24.”
Colin's pick: New York +2.5
Steelers at Bills (SPREAD: BUF -2)
“I’ve been saying it all week, I’ll take Buffalo and swallow 2 points, Bills -2. First of all, they’re a Hail Mary pass away from being 6-0 in their last six games, and they outplayed Arizona. The Steelers are becoming so Big Ben reliant that it’s almost comical. They don’t even attempt to run the football. I was told this earlier in the season and I didn’t buy it – Josh Allen, outside of Patrick Mahomes, may be the best young quarterback in this league, and he’s getting BETTER. The Steelers as an offense are getting WORSE. Buffalo is at home, and they have the most fourth quarter takeaways in the NFL. Why is this significant? They don’t have a great defense, but 'situationally' it is fantatstic. What does that mean? It’s a REALLY well-coached football team. They may not have their offensive coordinator in a month; Brian Daboll is going to get a head coaching job. This staff between Daboll and Sean McDermott is unbelievable. Their GM just got an extension, and it’s a braintrust in Buffalo. I like them to win and beat Pittsburgh by a touchdown, 28-21.”
Colin's pick: Buffalo -2
Ravens at Browns (SPREAD: BAL -2.5)
“Like it? I LOVE IT. I’ll take Cleveland. Teams are different – some get hurt and some get healthy, some don’t have an identity and some do… Cleveland has found their identity. This is the two best running offenses in the NFL, but the Browns have only allowed six sacks since Week 7. This is the best offensive line in the league and the coaches have figured it out. If you go to Week 7, the Ravens since then have a -6 sack differential. Browns +10. Turnover differential – Ravens -3, Browns +3. The Ravens have lost 4 of 6 games. I struggle with their offensive identity: do they want Lamar to run? Do they not? Let’s not get him hurt, but we need him. Cleveland is at home, they’re getting points, and they are the better football team. I said last week that they matched up very well with Tennessee. I didn’t know if they had the ‘oomph’ and the gravitas to win, but they did. I do worry a little bit about their maturity after winning back-to-back games, Monday Night Football, Baker has the spotlight, and will he got a little ‘CRAY’. I worry about that, but Cleveland is the better football team. They’ve been the better football team since Week 7 and have the better identity, and they have the better offensive line. I’m going to take Cleveland – their biggest win in however many years, 28-26. I think they’re the better team. I think it’s going to be close, it’s a divisional game, it’s a divisional rivalry, you know the personnel, and you’re not fooling anybody. I like Cleveland here.”
Colin's pick: Cleveland +2.5
***All point spreads are provided by Fox Bet, and Colin locks in his bets with the current spread at that very time on Friday at 12:00 pm ET/9:00 am PT